NFL Week 17- Gargy’s Best Bets

Hello punters, no Podcast this week, but I did want to tip our listeners into a few winners- now buyer beware!! There are a heap of games which mean absolutely nothing and the perfect example was last week when Indy didn’t turn up and got walloped by Dallas. There are hindsight bets all over the place, so the cash grandma gave you in a card for Christmas- spend wisely on winners in week 17.

 

Nothing games– there are a stack of them but the ones I will highlight is where teams are headed to the play offs

Indy at Titans. Indy are almost guaranteed the 4th spot and will host the loser of the Steelers/Bengals game next, the Titans are either going to finish 31st or 32nd in the event the Bucs upset the dreadful Saints. I wouldn’t be backing either team with Shirty’s money.

Dallas at Redskins- Dallas $1.32, horrendous value for a team with nothing to play for. They are getting a home play off next week, they could get a bye if Seattle get beaten or the packers/Lions game ends in a draw- not happening Avoid!. If they have any sense they rest their starters.

Pats are $1.45 vs Bills, Pats probably don’t want to rest their starters given they have a bye next week, but they don’t want Gronk, Blount or any other major contributors getting hurt- Avoid!

 

The meaningful match ups

Green bay v Lions. Big game, but it wasn’t flexed to Sunday night, why? Because they probably think the Packers will win and wont be a great game. Lions cant score, but they have good defence. $4.78 or +7.5 at the line.

NFC South winner Panthers at Flacons. Falcons have been ok the last few weeks, but I reckon Cam Newton is looking good. $2.57 is one of the best prices for an outsider this week.

Bengals at Steelers- I hate betting on both teams, The Bengals are off a short week after a huge upset vs the Broncos at home in week 16, the Steelers did what they needed to clinch a play off berth. Its a big match because the loser goes on the road to Indy to face Luck and the Colts in week 1 of the play offs, the winner hosts the banged up Arizona Cardinals which is a very favourable match up. I think the Steelers will be too good and $1.57 is a good price.

Chargers at KC. The Chargers are $2.24 and I know my old mate Shirt loves them and they are a gutsy team. They have had a stack of injuries but keep turning up. $2.24 is good enough for me. If you stop Charles (easier said than done) the Chiefs cannot score. Phil Rivers will get it done and get them into the 6th spot in the AFC.

 

** Guaranteed winners**

The Bucs need to lose to get the #1 draft pick, surely they don’t win. The Saints are $1.52- get on, the Bucs don’t want to win. Stick it in your multi’s.

Seattle is $1.14 head to head and Arizona is not winning this game- include it in your multi’s, don’t get greedy with margins as they may yank their starters in the 3rd or 4th quarters.

The Vikings at home to the bears, the bears announced they were benching Cutler earlier in the week and now due to injury he will be back under centre #awkward, this could be Cutler’s last game for the Bears. $1.37 for the Vikings is skinny, but the team isn’t lifting for Jay and besides the Vikings have been great to the punters over the past month, so we are investing with the bookies cash.

 

So pick the above winners individually if you like, I will take a few multi’s in week 17 and anchor the Saints and Seahawks in all of them-

#1- Saints, Seahawks, Vikings- for a price of $2.37

#2- Saints, Seahawks, Chargers, Panthers- for a price of $10.70

#3 Saints, Seahawks, Chargers, Panthers, Steelers, for a price of $15.75

 

Stay tuned for the return of the Pod next week with a couple of special guests

 

Merry Christmas and happy punting

Gargy

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